Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Akron Tolyatti		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.39	2.9	2.8
	2.55	3.16	2.99
	2.45	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.46	3.3	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.11)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	2.86 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
38.2%

Draw
29.6%

Chertanovo
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chertanovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Akron has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chertanovo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Akron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Akron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
19.09.20	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:2 ✺
09.09.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:0 ✺
05.09.20	Akron Tolyatti - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLLL
- FC Chertanovo
Russian Cup
01.10.20	Leningradets - Chertanovo	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Shinnik - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3 ✺
13.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
26.08.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	0:1

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