Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.96	2.88	2.79
	2.9	2.85	2.75
	2.93	2.91	2.76	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.66)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.71 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
32.6%

Draw
32.8%

Shinnik
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

32.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 31. Kasimov T. 22. Khomukha I. 14. Mashukov I. 5. Musalov M. 85. Pyatkin I. 19. Sharifullin L. 2. Sitdikov M. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 96. Vasiljev N.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 50. Golubev A. 10. Gongapshev A. 49. Karaev M. 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 11. Porokhov I. 15. Samoylov D.
Substitutes
11. Abdullaev S. 15. Bondar A. 27. Budylin A. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 58. Gazizov S. 98. Ismagilov A. (G) 9. Kotik A. 12. Mukba E. 6. Pechenkin N. 28. Platonov P. 8. Sukhomlinov D.	19. Arbuzov Y. 27. Chernyi A. 23. Chistyakov N. 33. Lavrenkov A. 7. Martovoy D. 21. Pushkarev D. 54. Shmakov I. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Evdokimov R.	Boyarintsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Azyavin I. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Porokhov I. ⚽,
24', Vasiljev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vasiljev N. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
58', Samoylov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
64', Pyatkin I. ↓, Kotik A. ↑,
72', Porokhov I. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
72', Karaev M. ↓, Chistyakov N. ↑,
82', Azyavin I. ↓, Shmakov I. ↑,
82', Gongapshev A. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
82', Kasimov T. ↓, Mukba E. ↑,
86', Sukhoruchenko M. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78% Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	2	16
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Last Results with these Odds

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Shinnik - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Shinnik - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Shinnik - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.03.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	0:0
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties
Russian FNL
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2
29.03.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1
12.10.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:0
24.04.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:2
03.09.23	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0

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