Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chertsey Town		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.72	3.6	2.25
	2.87	3.6	2.12
	2.83	3.58	2.23	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.35)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	2.18 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
33%

Draw
25.6%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chertsey Town's form might have worsened.

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Valley Paper Mills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chertsey Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Valley Paper Mills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chertsey Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cray Valley PM (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chertsey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Poole Town - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Chertsey Town - Uxbridge	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Yate Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chertsey Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTL
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Hashtag United	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Welling United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Ramsgate	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Whitehawk - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:2 ✺
12.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Chertsey Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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