Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hanwell Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.40	2.48
	2.43	3.52	2.53
	2.45	3.72	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.50
	2.38	3.44	2.44
	2.38	3.55	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
38%

Draw
25.8%

Chertsey Town
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Esprit J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Lee C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Hanwell Town has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hanwell Town has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hanwell Town against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Chertsey	13	5	5	3	27:20	7	20
14	Hanwell Town	12	3	5	4	16:15	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hanwell Town - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Chertsey Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Taunton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Hanwell Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.09.26	Flackwell Heath - Hanwell Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Chertsey Town - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Sheppey United - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Welling United - Chertsey Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Chichester City - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Chertsey Town - Hanwell Town	2:1
09.09.25	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2
21.04.25	Chertsey Town - Hanwell Town	0:2
26.12.24	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	0:2

Upcoming Matches