Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Poole Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.65
	2.12	3.8	2.68
	2.15	3.98	2.71
	2.15	3.68	2.76
	1.95	3.34	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)	3.7 ↑ (3.32)	2.86 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
43.5%

Draw
24.6%

Chertsey Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chertsey Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chertsey Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Poole Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,

Preview

Poole is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chertsey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Poole could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poole won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Poole won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Poole Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bracknell Town - Poole Town	3:4 ✺
12.08.25	Sholing - Poole Town	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Chertsey Town - Uxbridge	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Yate Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chertsey Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Chertsey Town - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tiverton Town - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Poole Town - Chertsey Town	3:1
14.01.25	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	2:1

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