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Current Win Probability
Poole Town 50.5%
Draw 24.7%
Chertsey Town 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
25.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
23.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.
Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chertsey Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Poole Town - Chertsey Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Poole will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Saied S. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Grant J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 2, Bowerman S. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Goodship B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League South and 8th).
Poole has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Chertsey has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Poole could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Poole for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Poole in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Poole has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Poole against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Poole
13
9
1
3
24:15
9
28
8
Chertsey
13
5
5
3
27:20
7
20
Last Results with these Odds
Poole Town - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Chertsey Town - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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