Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Chertsey Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.63
	3.85	4.1	1.67
	4.18	3.81	1.74
	4.11	4.13	1.72	Watch
	3.98	4.08	1.74
	3.85	4.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.88)	4.04 ↓ (4.1)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
23.1%

Draw
22.7%

Totton
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

21.7%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Totton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Chertsey Town - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Magri S. (Pen),
41', 1 - 1, Turner O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, Collins R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Chertsey is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Totton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chertsey won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.19%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
08.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	1:3 ✺
04.03.25	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Sholing - Chertsey Town	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
08.03.25	Wimborne Town - Totton	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Totton - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Totton	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Totton - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Totton - Marlow	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
03.12.24	Totton - Chertsey Town	3:0

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