Match Info

National League South - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Road (London)


	Dagenham & Redbridge		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.29	3.31	2.95	Watch
	2.04	3.24	3.33
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.29)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	3.26 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagenham & Redbridge
43.9%

Draw
28%

Chesham United
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Stephenson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Oliyide K. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Dieng T. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Carroll A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).

Dagenham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chesham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dagenham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dagenham & Redbridge - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.52%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Chesham United - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.45%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
22.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Tilbury	2:0 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Bath City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWT
- Chesham United
English National League South
22.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chesham United - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTW

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