The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Weston-super-Mare 42.7%
Draw 26.8%
Billericay Town 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
27.6%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.8%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Weston super Mare - Billericay Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bonne M. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Weston-super-Mare has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Billericay is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Weston-super-Mare may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Weston-super-Mare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Weston-super-Mare has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Weston-super-Mare against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Billericay
13
7
4
2
32:16
16
25
15
Weston-super-Mare
14
5
3
6
21:21
0
18
Outrights of English National League South for now