Match Info

National League South - Round 31

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.35	3.2
	2.06	3.44	3.49
	2.02	3.6	3.36	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2	3.32	3.36
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	3.39 ↓ (3.51)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
45.2%

Draw
27.2%

Eastbourne Borough
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+2%)

Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Armitage W. 🟥,
58', 1 - 0, Weiss M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Chesham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eastbourne is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eastbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chesham has had a series of away games.

Chesham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Eastbourne Borough - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.56%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
14.02.26	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Chesham United - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Farnborough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWW
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
14.02.26	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.10.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chesham United	1:2
30.11.24	Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough	0:0
10.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Chesham United	1:1

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