Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Eastbourne Borough		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	1.94	4.01	3.32
	1.92	4.12	3.28	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.25
	1.9	3.74	3.28
	1.94	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)	3.83 ↑ (3.68)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
47.7%

Draw
24.1%

Farnborough
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastbourne Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Mullins M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 1 - 1, Bower T. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Robinson O. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 2.

Recent form of Eastbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Farnborough has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eastbourne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14

Outrights of English National League South for now

Farnborough: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
17.01.26	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Horsham	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:4 ✺
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Farnborough
English National League South
17.01.26	Farnborough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
30.12.25	Horsham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Worthing - Farnborough	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	1:1
22.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	4:0
20.08.24	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
27.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	2:1
12.08.23	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	1:1
18.02.23	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	2:0
08.11.22	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	0:0

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