Match Info

National League South - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.35	3.35
	1.88	3.55	3.97
	1.87	3.66	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.75
	1.97	3.24	3.53
	1.85	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	3.7 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
48.2%

Draw
26.9%

Eastbourne Borough
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Weston super Mare - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Weston-super-Mare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, May A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Dawes W. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Cummins C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 3 - 1, Coulson L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 1.

Weston-super-Mare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eastbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Weston-super-Mare has had a series of away games.

Weston-super-Mare is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
10.02.26	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
10.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
26.04.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
21.12.24	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
16.04.24	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	1:1
02.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1
12.01.19	Eastbourne Borough - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
01.09.18	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	0:1

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