Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Chesham United		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.76	3.85	3.55
	1.85	4.11	3.5
	1.77	3.78	3.8
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)	3.69 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
51.6%

Draw
23.7%

Metropolitan Police
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitan Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitan Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Chesham United - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chesham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Metropolitan Police will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Metropolitan Police could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chesham have a series of guest games.

Recently Metropolitan Police have a series of home games.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Chesham United - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
18.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
15.10.22	Winchester City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
11.10.22	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Enfield Town - Chesham United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTLW
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Salisbury - Metropolitan Police	1:4 ✺
18.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Hastings United	0:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Metropolitan Police - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.03.22	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	4:1
09.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	2:0
30.11.19	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	2:1
29.12.18	Chesham United - Metropolitan Police	1:1
14.08.18	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	1:0

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