Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Winchester City		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.87
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.17	3.9	1.97
	3.4	3.65	1.89
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.03)	3.67 ↓ (4)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
27.8%

Draw
24.8%

Chesham United
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

22.8%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.5%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winchester City's performance.

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Winchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chesham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
30.01.24	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	0:2 ✺
23.01.24	Winchester City - Didcot Town	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Sholing - Winchester City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
27.01.24	Chesham United - Walton & Hersham	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Hungerford Town - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Didcot Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Chesham United - Harrow Borough	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.09.23	Chesham United - Winchester City	1:2
18.03.23	Chesham United - Winchester City	1:1
15.10.22	Winchester City - Chesham United	1:1

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