Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Chesham United		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.47	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4.63	5.41
	1.45	4.25	5.83
	1.47	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	4.28 ↓ (4.33)	5.5 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
62.1%

Draw
21.3%

Poole Town
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

21.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2.

Chesham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Poole has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Poole have a series of home games.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesham won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Sholing - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	4:0 ✺
06.02.24	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Winchester City - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Chesham United - Walton & Hersham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	2:5
04.03.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	3:3
22.10.22	Chesham United - Poole Town	2:2
26.03.22	Chesham United - Poole Town	3:2
20.11.21	Poole Town - Chesham United	0:0
07.12.19	Chesham United - Poole Town	2:1
09.03.19	Chesham United - Poole Town	5:1

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