Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Chesterfield		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.86	3.5	3.5
	1.93	3.35	3.4
	2.02	3.59	3.66
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	2.02	3.54	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.74)	3.46 ↓ (3.98)	3.5 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
47.2%

Draw
26.5%

Brackley Town
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesterfield's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chesterfield - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Chesterfield is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brackley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chesterfield will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
12.12.20	Chesterfield - Barnet	6:0 ✺
08.12.20	Sutton United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
01.12.20	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Weymouth - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWL
- Brackley Town
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Brackley Town - Royston Town	3:2 ✺
English National League North
12.12.20	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
08.12.20	Brackley Town - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Guiseley - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
01.12.20	Leamington - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
02.02.19	Chesterfield - Brackley Town	0:2

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