Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.27	5.5	7.25
	1.3	5.5	8.5
	1.33	5.41	8.48
	1.34	5.41	8.48
	1.25	5.5	7.5
	1.29	5.55	7.9
	1.31	5.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	5.35 ↑ (5.17)	7.91 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
71%

Draw
17.3%

Aldershot Town
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

17.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Chesterfield - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 11. Colclough R. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 10. Jacobs M. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 22. Sheckleford R.	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 22. Barham J. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 3. Harfield O. 4. Harries C. (C) 2. Mnoga H. 5. Rowe C. 10. Stokes J. 39. Thomas K. 27. Willard T.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 27. Quigley J.	20. Haigh J. 24. Mullins M. 7. O'Keefe S. 18. Scott O. 38. Westen F. (G)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3.

Chesterfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aldershot is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesterfield is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
16.12.23	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chesterfield - Southport	6:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Chesterfield - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
21.11.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
16.12.23	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	3:5 ✺
English FA Cup
13.12.23	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.09.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	3:4
14.02.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	1:1
13.08.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	1:0
22.01.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0
21.08.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	0:2
23.03.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	0:1
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	Aldershot walkover

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