Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Sutton United		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.78	3.6	4
	1.75	3.7	4
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.8	3.96	4.4
	1.83	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.86	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.69 ↑ (3.66)	4.09 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
51.9%

Draw
25.3%

Chesterfield
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	12%	12%

Sutton United - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 18).

Sutton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesterfield is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sutton is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
05.12.20	Sutton United - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
01.12.20	Woking - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Sutton United - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	Wrexham - Sutton United	4:0 ✺
21.11.20	Wealdstone - Sutton United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLT
- Chesterfield
English National League
01.12.20	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Weymouth - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:3 ✺
17.11.20	Altrincham - Chesterfield	3:2 ✺
14.11.20	Chesterfield - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.01.20	Chesterfield - Sutton United	1:0
21.09.19	Sutton United - Chesterfield	4:0
23.03.19	Chesterfield - Sutton United	3:0
30.10.18	Sutton United - Chesterfield	1:1

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