Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	4 (4)	3.86 (3.86)

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
55%

Draw
22.1%

Korona Kielce 2
22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

21.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chełmianka Chełm have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Korona Kielce 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 1.

Chełmianka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korona 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Korona 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chełmianka is considered a favorite.

We predict that Chełmianka will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chełmianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWW
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1
16.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	1:2
19.10.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4
20.05.23	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3
15.10.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	0:0
22.05.21	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1
28.11.20	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	3:4

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