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Current Win Probability
Chełmianka Chełm 63.2%
Draw 19.9%
Korona Kielce 2 16.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22.1%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
21.4%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Division 2 and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 2.
Chełmianka is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Korona 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chełmianka holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Chełmianka has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:17 (averaging 1.9:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chełmianka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
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