Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.75	3.65	2.15
	2.77	3.58	2.15
	2.79	3.78	2.15	Watch
	2.77	3.58	2.18	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
32.9%

Draw
25.1%

Podhale Nowy Targ
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

26.9%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Mianowany M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Vaclavik R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Burkiewicz A. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Mianowany M. ⚽,
79', Mianowany M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Podhale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLWT
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	2:2
04.03.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	2:1
06.08.22	Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
16.05.21	Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
10.10.20	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	3:0
09.11.19	Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	4:3

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