Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	2.28	3.52	2.58	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.39)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)	2.6 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
39.5%

Draw
25.7%

Avia Świdnik
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.6%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chełmianka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWW
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
31.08.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Avia Świdnik - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Avia Świdnik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3
10.08.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:0
19.05.24	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2
28.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	2:2
24.05.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	0:1
22.10.22	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:0
13.04.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	0:1

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