Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Chiangmai United		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4	1.47
	5.1	3.65	1.52
	5.2	4	1.5
	5.8	4.34	1.51
	5.8	3.6	1.47
	5.65	4.1	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (4.6)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiangmai United
16.5%

Draw
23%

Muangthong United
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

25.2%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muangthong United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muangthong United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chiangmai United - Muangthong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).

Chiangmai United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Muangthong United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chiangmai United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Muangthong United is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiangmai United
Thai League 1
09.04.22	Khonkaen United - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Chiangrai United - Chiangmai United	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Chiangmai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:3 ✺
04.03.22	Chiangmai United - Chonburi	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	Prachuap - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLTL
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
09.04.22	Muangthong United - Samut Prakan City	5:2 ✺
19.03.22	Suphanburi - Muangthong United	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Police Tero - Muangthong United	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Muangthong United - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Khonkaen United - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
14.11.21	Muangthong United - Chiangmai United	2:0

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