Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Police Tero		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.08	3.74	2.21
	3.08	3.74	2.21
	3	3.5	1.95
	3.08	3.65	2.07	Watch
	2.8	3.55	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.67)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
30.9%

Draw
25.5%

Muangthong United
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

25.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Police Tero - Muangthong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nasri S. (G) 6. Wellington 35. Honey I. 23. Sosungnoen A. 20. Fomthaisong A. 19. Chaowana Y. 32. Villanueva D. 4. Thongsaengphrao J. 10. Karikari K. 9. Jeong W. 11. Phokhi J.	33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 19. Do T. 17. Laohabut T. 29. Kraikruan S. 15. Supma C. 18. Pomphan W. 23. Thawornsak K. 37. Autra P. (C) 22. Kaewta P. 20. Arjvirai P. 14. Scepovic S.
Substitutes
13. Bueraheng A. 8. Churok T. 30. Creevey M. 27. Darbellay D. 29. Makthuam N. (G) 7. Munsuwan N. 18. Namphueng S. 3. Phumipha E. A. 21. Srevaurai P.	24. Chaikultewin W. 34. Khamyok K. 27. Noysri J. 2. Paipromrat S. 39. Rakyart S. (G) 4. Saengdao C. 21. Thodsanit P. 28. Yoosuebchuea S. 6. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Viwatchaichok R.	Suewaja R.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Police Tero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muangthong United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Police Tero won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 1
07.10.23	Police Tero - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Police Tero - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ratchaburi - Police Tero	6:1 ✺
26.08.23	Police Tero - Chonburi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
08.10.23	Khonkaen United - Muangthong United	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Prachuap - Muangthong United	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pathum United - Muangthong United	5:2 ✺
28.08.23	Muangthong United - Thai Port	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
11.03.23	Muangthong United - Police Tero	1:0
16.10.22	Police Tero - Muangthong United	2:1
06.03.22	Police Tero - Muangthong United	0:2
23.10.21	Muangthong United - Police Tero	2:1
02.03.21	Muangthong United - Police Tero	1:2
25.10.20	Police Tero - Muangthong United	1:3
08.09.18	Police Tero - Muangthong United	2:4

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