Match Info
Thai League 2 - Round 33Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: 700th Anniversary Stadium (Chiang Mai)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
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Chiangmai United |
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Nongbua Pitchaya |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.98 |
3.5 |
2.05 |
 Watch |
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3.02 |
3.51 |
2.02 |
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2.96 |
3.72 |
2.06 |
Watch |
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3 |
3.3 |
2.05 |
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3.05 |
3.54 |
2.04 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.83) |
3.51 ↓
(3.83) |
2.04 ↓
(2.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chiangmai United
30.1% | Draw
25.7% | Nongbua Pitchaya
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Chiangmai United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Jeong W. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 0, Noisri W. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 0.Chiangmai United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nongbua Pitchaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). Nongbua Pitchaya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
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| 9 | Chiangmai Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Chiangmai United - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.15%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Thai League 2 | | | 13.12.25 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United | 1:0 | | 28.01.24 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United | 2:1 | | 16.09.23 | Chiangmai United - Nongbua Pitchaya | 1:3 | | Thai League 1 | | | 20.03.22 | Chiangmai United - Nongbua Pitchaya | 1:3 | | 06.11.21 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United | 3:1 | | Thai League 2 | | | 14.02.21 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United | 0:0 | | 12.09.20 | Chiangmai United - Nongbua Pitchaya | 0:0 |
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