The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nongbua Pitchaya 55.1%
Draw 23.6%
Police Tero 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
24.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
24.6%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nongbua Pitchaya's performance.
Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police Tero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nongbua Pitchaya that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police Tero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Songma J. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Songma J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 3 - 0, Phochai T. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Honny I. ⚽,
90+10', 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nongbua Pitchaya won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Nongbua Pitchaya is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).