The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Stars 29%
Draw 25.4%
Houston Dash 45.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.5%
24.9%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
22.4%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Stars's performance.
Houston Dash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Dash might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Chicago Stars - Houston Dash Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Naeher A. (C) 14. Wood T. 3. Staab S. 20. Franklin B. 11. Gomes N. 9. Swanson M. 10. Pinto B. A. 34. Dellarose T. E. 5. Alozie M. 18. Charley S. 23. Johnson M.
1. Campbell J. (C) 8. Hammond N. 14. Nielsen P. K. 4. Klenke L. 27. Boattin L. 19. Graham M. 24. Colaprico D. 34. Harper K. 30. Ullmark L. 47. Ivanovic M. 23. Faasse K.
Substitutes
27. Atkinson K. (G) 4. Bike J. 28. Egizii E. 15. Evans E. 25. Farmer A. 31. Gasper A. 77. Lopez Millan M. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 6. Valdezate O.
99. Brewster J. 6. Bright M. 2. Chapman A. 40. Delisle C. (G) 18. Hardin C. 9. Larisey C. 17. Puntigam S. 22. Rader K. 12. van Zanten K.
Coaches
Baez Trujillo K. P.
Frias J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Klenke L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Harper K. ↓, Rader K. ↑,
46', Charley S. ↓, Egizii E. ↑,
51', Klenke L. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Graham M. ⚽, Boattin L. (A),
62', Ivanovic M. ↓, van Zanten K. ↑,
62', Faasse K. ↓, Larisey C. ↑,
68', Johnson M. ↓, Bike J. ↑,
69', Wood T. ↓, Gasper A. ↑,
71', Colaprico D. ↓, Puntigam S. ↑,
71', Ullmark L. ↓, Chapman A. ↑,
77', Puntigam S. 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Larisey C. ⚽, van Zanten K. (A),
85', Swanson M. ↓, Farmer A. ↑,
87', Dellarose T. E. 🟨,
89', Dellarose T. E. ↓, Lopez Millan M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Staab S. ⚽, Egizii E. (A),
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Houston Dash is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Houston Dash holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicago has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:25 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).