Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Hanworth Villa		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.60	3.30
	1.95	3.45	3.15
	2.06	3.52	3.11
	2.02	3.72	3.28	Watch
	2.03	3.45	3.05
	2.02	4.15	3.19
	1.97	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	3.18 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanworth Villa
46.1%

Draw
25.1%

Chichester City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanworth Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanworth Villa's form might have worsened.

Chichester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chichester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanworth Villa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanworth Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chichester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hanworth Villa - Chichester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Vaughan H. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, McGregor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 2 - 1, Bridle H. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hanworth holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hanworth	9	6	1	2	17:8	9	19
9	Chichester	9	4	1	4	14:16	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanworth Villa
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Berkhamsted - Hanworth Villa	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Wimborne Town - Hanworth Villa	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTW
- Chichester City
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Chichester City - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Uxbridge - Chichester City	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWWW

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