Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Chichester City		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.70	2.05
	2.63	3.60	2.10
	2.99	3.92	2.05
	2.98	4.09	2.04	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.95
	2.96	3.80	1.97
	2.80	3.85	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)	3.83 ↑ (3.68)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chichester City
31.7%

Draw
23.7%

Chertsey Town
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Chichester City - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Bridle H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Robertson L. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Wilson (Penalty Awarded),
75', 2 - 2, Bridle H. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14
9	Chichester	9	4	1	4	14:16	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Chertsey Town - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Uxbridge - Chichester City	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Evesham United - Chichester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Chertsey Town - Malvern Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sholing - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches