Match Info

EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yongin Citizens Sports Park (Yongin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	CCTV-5, Leisu Sports, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka


	China		Hong Kong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.9	5.75
	1.43	4.15	5.9
	1.47	4.29	6.9
				Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.8
	1.48	4.3	6.52	Watch
	1.47	4	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	6.42 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
62.8%

Draw
22.8%

Hong Kong
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hong Kong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

China - Hong Kong Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hong Kong will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for China: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. China (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hong Kong (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - China (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. China (votes: 2 - 20%). Hong Kong (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) Shanghai Port 25. Wumitijiang Y. 5. Zhu Chenjie Shanghai Shenhua 4. Jiang Shenglong Shanghai Shenhua 24. Wang Shiqin Zhejiang Professional 8. Xu Xin Shanghai Port 6. Huang Zhengyu Shandong Taishan 23. Xie Wenneng Shandong Taishan 11. Serginho Beijing Guoan 15. Wang Y. Zhejiang Professional 9. Zhang Yuning (C) Beijing Guoan	1. Yapp H. (C) Eastern AA 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 4. Jones L. Kitchee 21. Yue Tze-Nam Meizhou Hakka 15. Mahama A. Southern District 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 20. Udebuluzor M. VfR Mannheim 23. Sun Ming-Him Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 12. Fernando Kitchee 7. Juninho Kitchee 9. Orr M. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Substitutes
16. Ba Dun Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 19. Cao Yongjing Beijing Guoan 3. Gao Zhunyi Shandong Taishan 17. Kuai Jiwen Shanghai Port 18. Liao Jintao Dalian Yingbo 22. Liu Chengyu Shanghai Shenhua 2. Liu Haofan Zhejiang Professional 21. Tao Qianglong Zhejiang Professional 20. Wang Ziming Beijing Guoan 10. Wei Shihao Chengdu Rongcheng 13. Wei Zhen Shanghai Port 12. Xue Qinghao (G) Shanghai Shenhua 7. Xu Haoyang Shanghai Shenhua 26. Yu Jinyong (G) Shandong Taishan	22. Benavides Medeiros N. Tai Po 2. Benhaddouche C. Eastern AA 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 11. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 26. Lee Ka-Ho Tai Po 14. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Kitchee 24. Ng Y. H. Chongqing Tonglianglong 19. Shlyakotin O. (G) Hong Kong Rangers 13. Stefan Southern District 18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 10. Wong W. Lee Man Warriors
Coaches
Durdevic D.	Westwood A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Huang Zhengyu ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
44', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
44', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
45+2', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mahama A. ↓, Stefan ↑,
60', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Benavides Medeiros N. ↑,
62', Juninho 🟨,
62', Wang Shiqin 🟨,
71', Serginho ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,
71', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Liao Jintao ↑,
71', Xie Wenneng ↓, Ba Dun ↑,
78', Fernando ↓, Wong W. ↑,
84', Tan Chun-Lok 🟨,
87', Zhang Yuning ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
88', Wang Y. ↓, Tao Qianglong ↑,

Preview

Hong Kong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

China may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, China is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China
EAFF E-1
12.07.25	Japan - China	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	South Korea - China	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	China - Bahrain	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Indonesia - China	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	China - Australia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Hong Kong
EAFF E-1
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Hong Kong - India	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Hong Kong - Nepal	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Hong Kong - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
01.01.24	China - Hong Kong	1:2
EAFF E-1
27.07.22	China - Hong Kong	1:0
18.12.19	Hong Kong - China	0:2
FIFA World Cup
17.11.15	Hong Kong - China	0:0
03.09.15	China - Hong Kong	0:0

China - Hong Kong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide