Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Chinandega		Deportivo Ocotal

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	2.95	3	2.3
	3.25	3.1	2.09
	3.37	3.15	2.14
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.44	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (4.54)	3.18 ↓ (3.64)	2.16 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chinandega
29.1%

Draw
28.6%

Deportivo Ocotal
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.9%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.2%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chinandega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chinandega's performance.

Deportivo Ocotal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Ocotal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chinandega than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chinandega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Ocotal than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Ocotal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Liga Primera (Clausura to Winners: Quartertofinals)).

Chinandega is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ocotal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Chinandega have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chinandega won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chinandega won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chinandega FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.03.21	Managua - Chinandega	3:1 ✺
13.03.21	Real Estelí - Chinandega	4:1 ✺
07.03.21	Diriangén - Chinandega	3:0 ✺
18.02.21	Chinandega - Municipal Jalapa	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Juventus Managua - Chinandega	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLTW
- Deportivo Ocotal
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.03.21	Deportivo Ocotal - Junior Managua	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Deportivo Ocotal - Managua	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Diriangén - Deportivo Ocotal	0:1 ✺
17.02.21	Deportivo Ocotal - Walter Ferretti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
03.02.21	Deportivo Ocotal - Chinandega	0:0
25.10.20	Deportivo Ocotal - Chinandega	1:2
16.08.20	Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal	4:2
18.04.20	Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal	2:3
29.09.19	Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal	2:1
27.01.19	Deportivo Ocotal - Chinandega	1:0
26.09.18	Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal	0:0

Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Chinandega - Deportivo Ocotal Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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