Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Chinandega		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	3.4 ↑ (3.34)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chinandega
39.4%

Draw
27.6%

Municipal Jalapa
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

19.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chinandega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chinandega than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chinandega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Jalapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Liga Primera (Clausura to Winners: Quartertofinals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Municipal Jalapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chinandega won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chinandega won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chinandega FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
14.02.21	Juventus Managua - Chinandega	1:3 ✺
11.02.21	Chinandega - Real Madriz	1:2 ✺
06.02.21	Junior Managua - Chinandega	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Deportivo Ocotal - Chinandega	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Chinandega - Managua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTT
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
13.02.21	Municipal Jalapa - Deportivo Ocotal	3:3 ✺
10.02.21	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	5:2 ✺
07.02.21	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.11.20	Municipal Jalapa - Chinandega	0:2
15.11.20	Chinandega - Municipal Jalapa	1:1
13.09.20	Municipal Jalapa - Chinandega	1:1
05.04.20	Municipal Jalapa - Chinandega	0:1
15.02.20	Chinandega - Municipal Jalapa	1:0
27.10.19	Chinandega - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
25.08.19	Municipal Jalapa - Chinandega	2:0

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