The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chippa United 48.4%
Draw 30.9%
Baroka 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
24.9%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
24.9%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chippa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippa United's form might have worsened.
Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baroka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippa United than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baroka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
23.1%
15.4%
Chippa United - Baroka Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Chippa United will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Baroka will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chippa United: 35% โ 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Chippa United has the most likely position - 12 (23.08%), has project points - 33, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.
Baroka has the most likely position - 16 (83.99%), has project points - 22, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.
This event has very small quality9, small importance18, small match rating13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippa United won 2.
Recent matches Chippa United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Baroka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Chippa United is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Chippa United won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Chippa United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
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