The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baroka 32.2%
Draw 32.6%
Lamontville Golden Arrows 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
33%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
32.1%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Lamontville Golden Arrows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamontville Golden Arrows than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.3%
36.8%
36.8%
Baroka - Lamontville Golden Arrows Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Baroka will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Golden Arrows will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Golden Arrows: 15.1% – 58.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Baroka has the most likely position - 16 (90.79%), has project points - 19, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has not chance of qualify for ccl.
Golden Arrows has the most likely position - 9 (30.25%), has project points - 40, has currently - 34, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality10, very small importance7, very small match rating9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Baroka won 0.
Baroka has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Golden Arrows is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Baroka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Golden Arrows have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Baroka won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
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