Match Info

National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Chippenham Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.15	2.38
	2.93	3.42	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.29
	2.9	3.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.67)	3.23 ↓ (3.51)	2.29 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
31.7%

Draw
28.4%

Bath City
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chippenham Town - Bath City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Windsor O. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Carroll C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Parsons H. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 2 - 2, Alves J. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Chukwu A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 1.

Chippenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bath has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
20.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Chippenham Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Maidenhead United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Chippenham Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- Bath City
English National League South
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bath City - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.04.25	Bath City - Chippenham Town	0:1
26.12.24	Chippenham Town - Bath City	0:3
01.01.24	Bath City - Chippenham Town	0:0
26.12.23	Chippenham Town - Bath City	1:2
01.01.23	Chippenham Town - Bath City	0:0
26.12.22	Bath City - Chippenham Town	1:3
02.01.22	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0

Chippenham Town - Bath City