Match Info

National League South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.52
	2.52	3.43	2.57	Watch
	2.53	3.58	2.53
	2.56	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 (2.53)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
36.4%

Draw
27.4%

Tonbridge Angels
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Grant F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Maidstone United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
04.11.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- Tonbridge Angels
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:4 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Bath City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	1:1
07.09.24	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:0
03.02.24	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0
19.08.23	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
22.04.23	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2
22.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0
19.03.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0

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