Match Info

National League South - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.51	4.05	5.86
	1.6	4.09	5	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.58	3.7	5.11
	1.6	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)	3.83 ↓ (4.41)	5.12 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
58%

Draw
24%

Chippenham Town
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weston-super-Mare's form might have worsened.

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

Weston super Mare - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Britton L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 3.

In recent matches, Weston-super-Mare has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chippenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chippenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Weston-super-Mare has had a series of away games.

Recently, Chippenham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Weston-super-Mare is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Forest Green Rovers - Weston-super-Mare	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
English National League South
29.11.25	Horsham - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
06.12.25	Chippenham Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Maidenhead United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Chippenham Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
English National League South
19.08.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
18.04.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
01.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:3
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0
28.09.24	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
English National League South
09.04.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	2:1

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