Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 12

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Vado		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.45	3.7
	1.63	3.65	4.65
	1.86	3.52	3.68	Watch
	1.56	3.48	5.79
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	4.46 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
53.6%

Draw
25.9%

Gozzano
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vado's performance.

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gozzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Vado - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Pavesi M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Arras D. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Sangiorgio L. ⚽,
81', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Vado has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vado is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vado won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.11.25	Chisola - Vado	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Vado	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Ligorna - Vado	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vado - Varese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pistoiese - Vado	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.11.25	Lavagnese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Gozzano - Varese	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Club Milano - Gozzano	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gozzano - Ligorna	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Imperia - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Vado - Gozzano	4:1
29.01.25	Gozzano - Vado	0:0
02.10.24	Vado - Gozzano	2:1
24.03.24	Gozzano - Vado	1:1
12.11.23	Vado - Gozzano	1:1
12.03.23	Gozzano - Vado	0:2
06.11.22	Vado - Gozzano	2:1

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