The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 35.3%
Draw 28.7%
Varese 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
29%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
27.5%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Gozzano - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Sarpa C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Barzotti M. (Pen),
77', 2 - 1, Pavesi M. (Pen),
89', 3 - 1, Lettieri V. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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