Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.50	3.20
	2.38	3.35	2.45
	2.45	3.65	2.6
	2.53	3.57	2.53	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.46	3.28	2.44	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
38.5%

Draw
26.4%

Podhale Nowy Targ
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

26.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chojniczanka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Primel D. (G) 27. Adamczyk H. 34. Nowacki D. 97. Oleksiewicz J. 20. Sabala V. (C) 44. Smolarczyk J. 30. Sobeczko J. 7. Szczepanek B. 43. Szot D. 33. Teclaw J. 31. Zywicki J.	33. Fratczak D. (G) 56. Baniowski F. 26. Kumoch K. 42. Lipien M. 29. Marcinho 6. Mikolajczyk B. 23. Rachwal R. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 25. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.
Substitutes
88. Czerniewicz A. (G) . Czyzewski A. 10. Famulak M. 11. Janicki K. 51. Morek M. 80. Mosek F. 9. Sobol H. 8. Stypulkowski S. 3. Yukhymovych D.	28. Brod A. 41. Gozdecki N. 77. Koltanski D. 11. Kubik T. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 14. Sobczak S. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 71. Talar K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lipien M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Szczepanek B. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Nowacki D. ⚽, Adamczyk H. (A),
45', Mikolajczyk B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Marcinho ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
60', Surzyn M. ↓, Koltanski D. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Sobczak S. ⚽,
68', Lipien M. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
68', Mikolajczyk B. ↓, Talar K. ↑,
69', Oleksiewicz J. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
69', Adamczyk H. ↓, Stypulkowski S. ↑,
72', Baniowski F. 🟨,
77', Baniowski F. ↓, Rubis J. ↑,
77', Sobeczko J. ↓, Mosek F. ↑,
77', Sabala V. ↓, Janicki K. ↑,
80', Rachwal R. 🟨,
87', Zywicki J. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Chojniczanka has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Podhale shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Podhale has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Chojniczanka has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chojniczanka against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22:20	2	20
11	Chojniczanka	13	5	3	5	23:23	0	18

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Chojniczanka: 0.81% Podhale Nowy Targ: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
04.10.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Swit Skolwin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
29.08.26	Sokół Kleczew - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTT
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
03.10.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Legia II - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0
Polish Division 2
09.05.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2
25.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0

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