Match Info

Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Legia Training Center (Warsaw)


	Legia II		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	2.97	3.96	2.08
	2.73	3.91	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.9	2.02
	3.03	3.86	2.09	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.24)	3.79 ↑ (3.38)	2.08 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
31.7%

Draw
24.2%

Podhale Nowy Targ
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia II's form might have worsened.

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Podhale Nowy Targ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podhale Nowy Targ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Legia II - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bienduga J. (G) 30. Colak A. 4. Gora L. 25. Korzynski B. 3. Lauryn M. 13. Mikanovich E. 14. Mozdzen M. (C) 7. Pchelka C. 28. Przybylko F. 8. Saletra M. 24. Stepniewski F.	33. Fratczak D. (G) 56. Baniowski F. 29. Marcinho 6. Mikolajczyk B. 10. Nowak A. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 14. Sobczak S. 25. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.
Substitutes
9. Bicki B. 5. Boczon R. 16. Gawarecki J. 21. Gliwa J. 17. Kiedrowicz D. . Konik P. 22. Kosiorek K. 12. Trojanowski J. (G) 23. Wyganowski A.	28. Brod A. 41. Gozdecki N. 77. Koltanski D. 11. Kubik T. 42. Lipien M. 23. Rachwal R. 16. Rubis J. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 71. Talar K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Colak A. ⚽, Stepniewski F. (A),
44', Pchelka C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Colak A. ↓, Bicki B. ↑,
60', Przybylko F. ↓, Gliwa J. ↑,
63', Baniowski F. ↓, Lipien M. ↑,
63', Sobczak S. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
71', Stepniewski F. ↓, Gawarecki J. ↑,
71', Mikolajczyk B. ↓, Brod A. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Saletra M. ⚽,
78', Surzyn M. ↓, Koltanski D. ↑,
82', Mikanovich E. ↓, Kosiorek K. ↑,
82', Saletra M. ↓, Wyganowski A. ↑,
84', Gawarecki J. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 8th).

Recent results have been tough for Legia II (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Podhale is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Podhale has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Legia II has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26% Legia II: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17
14	Legia II	9	3	0	6	18:17	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Legia II - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 2
12.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	Legia II - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Legia II	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Legia II - Sokół Kleczew	6:1 ✺
16.08.26	Hutnik - Legia II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
12.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
11.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Legia II	3:2 penalties

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