Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Nowy Targ)


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.48	3.55	2.30
	2.63	3.50	2.34
	2.74	3.47	2.31	Watch
	2.30	3.35	2.55
	2.47	3.38	2.71	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↑ (3.18)	2.49 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
36.8%

Draw
26.6%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.9%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Podhale will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (G) 77. Koltanski D. 42. Lipien M. 6. Mikolajczyk B. 10. Nowak A. 18. Pecarka R. 4. Sewerys R. 14. Sobczak S. 17. Surzyn M. 61. Talar K. 21. Vosko P.	25. Glacel M. (G) 3. Dembek B. 2. Glogowski K. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. 16. Koprowski O. 21. Los K. (C) 20. Oshafi A. 19. Turski H. 14. Uzoigwe H. 42. Zbrog J.
Substitutes
56. Baniowski F. 28. Brod A. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 41. Gozdecki N. 11. Kubik T. 20. Lukasz A. 29. Marcinho 23. Rachwal R. 7. Seweryn L.	5. Dias M. 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 1. Kaminski K. (G) 27. Konstantyn J. 68. Miazgowski J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 15. Niski N. 4. Ruszkiewicz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Oshafi A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Talar K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pecarka R. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Vosko P. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Surzyn M. ⚽,
59', Mikolajczyk B. 🟨,
61', Uzoigwe H. 🟨,
61', Zbrog J. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
61', Dembek B. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
62', Nowak A. ↓, Brod A. ↑,
62', Talar K. ↓, Seweryn L. ↑,
63', Surzyn M. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Podhale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2 ✺
08.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	2:5 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLLW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTTWW

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