Match Info

Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930 (Chojnice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.2	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.61	3.33	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.37	3.28	2.01
	3.2	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.78)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
28%

Draw
27.9%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 21. Golinski J. 16. Kacerik A. 79. Kozina M. 34. Nowacki D. 20. Sabala V. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M. 3. Yukhymovych D. 31. Zywicki J.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 8. Bahonko E. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. 4. Korczakowski I. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
1. Antkowiak M. (G) 22. Branecki J. 5. Czajka B. 30. Golebiowski R. 91. Korczyc K. 66. Olejnik P. 24. Romanik J. 18. Sajdak P. 11. Stefaniak M.	11. Dziegielewski D. 2. Farbiszewski B. 24. Gulczynski G. 17. Niewiadomski J. 18. Paclawski N. 26. Piwowarczyk J. 6. Skowronski G. 98. Szpaderski J. (G) 19. Urbanski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bahonko E. 🟨,
32', Kozina M. 🟨,
45+5', Zywicki J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Kacerik A. ↓, Branecki J. ↑,
70', Nowacki D. ↓, Olejnik P. ↑,
77', Odolak K. ↓, Dziegielewski D. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Sabala V. ⚽,
84', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Paclawski N. ↑,
84', Korczakowski I. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
84', Kozina M. ↓, Czajka B. ↑,
84', Sabala V. ↓, Sajdak P. ↑,
88', Jaron D. ↓, Farbiszewski B. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Chojniczanka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chojniczanka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Chojniczanka Chojnice - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.81%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - ŁKS Łódź II	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
29.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Jastrzębie	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.09.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
07.05.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0
30.10.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:3

Upcoming Matches