Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.73
	3.6	3.9	1.82	Watch
	3.95	4.14	1.81
	3.54	4.14	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.75
	3.69	4.01	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (4.15)	3.95 ↓ (4.4)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25.3%

Draw
23.4%

Wieczysta Kraków
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.2%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

20.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wieczysta Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Wieczysta will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 52. Olewinski O. 21. Los K. (C) 2. Glogowski K. 27. Konstantyn J. 23. Adamczyk H. 9. Gieroba S. 71. Szczepaniak M.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 15. Djermanovic A. 6. Pietrzak R. 7. Gajos M. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 18. Feiertag S. 80. Dziegielewski N.
Substitutes
77. Adkonis J. 30. Barnowski D. 25. Glacel M. (G) 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 20. Wypart O.	27. Carlitos 17. Dankowski K. 11. Knezevic N. 5. Olsson E. 9. Paulinho 33. Pestka K. 77. Semedo L. 28. Soberka K. (G) 19. Trabka M.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Moskal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
49', 1 - 0, Szczepaniak M. ⚽,
65', Miki Villar ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
65', Dziegielewski N. ↓, Trabka M. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Gajos M. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Feiertag S. ⚽, Pietrzak R. (A),
72', Adamczyk H. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
72', Glogowski K. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
75', Konstantyn J. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Piazon L. ⚽, Feiertag S. (A),
77', 🟨,
79', Gieroba S. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
79', Konstantyn J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
79', Olewinski O. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Gajos M. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
84', Pazdan M. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
84', Gajos M. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
84', Feiertag S. ↓, Carlitos ↑,
87', Knezevic N. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wieczysta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wieczysta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wieczysta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Wieczysta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLW
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
26.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3
Polish Division 2
29.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1
01.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1

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