Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre Blouen (Cholet)


	Cholet		Avranches

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	2.69	3.6	2.59
	2.71	3.44	2.57
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.7	3.3	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.97)	3.43 ↓ (3.51)	2.48 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
35.8%

Draw
26.9%

Avranches
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cholet's form might have worsened.

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avranches's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cholet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avranches, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Cholet - Avranches Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Avranches will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avranches: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ba O. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 31. Dembele A. 2. Diop A. 13. Guibert S. 21. Hafidi H. 15. Monzango N. 11. Ouattara M. 25. Robinand J. 18. Seye B. 20. Thiam A.	40. Quilichini G. (G) 17. Bansais D. 23. Daguin V. 11. Jean D. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 25. Pi J. 5. Rabuel M. 24. Tertereau A. 18. Tshipamba I.
Substitutes
24. Diop A. 17. Gameiro A. 12. Jarju Y. 7. Najim I. 5. Zekovic B.	10. Magnon P. 16. Mensah C. (G) 7. Nsimba S. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Seye B. 🟨,
42', Thiam A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Tshipamba I. ⚽,
48', Hafidi H. 🟨,
57', Guibert S. ↓, Jarju Y. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Tshipamba I. ⚽,
63', Tshipamba I. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
64', Diop A. ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,
64', Seye B. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
74', Magnon P. 🟨,
76', Dembele A. ↓, Zekovic B. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Cholet is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cholet won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
03.05.24	Le Mans - Cholet	3:3 ✺
26.04.24	Cholet - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Martigues - Cholet	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Cholet - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	GOAL FC - Cholet	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TLTWW
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
03.05.24	Avranches - Nancy	0:3 ✺
26.04.24	Villefranche - Avranches	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Avranches - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Avranches - Épinal	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Le Mans - Avranches	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.01.24	Avranches - Cholet	2:1
26.05.23	Avranches - Cholet	2:1
12.08.22	Cholet - Avranches	1:3
22.04.22	Avranches - Cholet	0:2
04.12.21	Cholet - Avranches	1:1
05.03.21	Cholet - Avranches	1:0
02.10.20	Avranches - Cholet	3:1

Cholet - Avranches: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide