Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		Cholet

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.5
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.57	4.21	5.44
	1.59	4.28	5.2
	1.5	4	5
	1.58	4.14	4.9	Watch
	1.54	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	4.1 ↑ (3.9)	4.99 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
59.1%

Draw
22.4%

Cholet
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cholet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Le Mans - Cholet Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 18. Boussaid M. 26. Colas E. 25. Gueye D. 24. Lehoux P. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 22. Njoh L. 29. Quarshie E. (C) 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 17. Yohou S.	16. Secchi T. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 39. Dembele A. 21. Hafidi H. 15. Monzango N. 7. Najim I. 11. Ouattara M. 25. Robinand J. 4. Seba D. 18. Seye B. 20. Thiam A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Seye B. ⚽, Abdeldjelil O. (A),
13', Yohou S. 🟥,
14', 0 - 2, Hafidi H. (Pen),
21', Lehoux P. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
28', 1 - 2, Boussaid M. ⚽, Colas E. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Colas E. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Vargas-Rios H. 🟨,
60', Najim I. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
60', Robinand J. ↓, Jarju Y. ↑,
63', Vargas-Rios H. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
68', Le Mehaute Y. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
72', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
72', Colas E. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
72', Gueye D. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
74', Voyer H. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Vula A. ⚽,
78', Dembele A. ↓, Zekovic B. ↑,
78', Seye B. ↓, Gameiro A. ↑,
80', Hafidi H. 🟨,
85', 3 - 3, Jarju Y. ⚽,
87', 🟥,
87', Seba D. 🟥,
90+2', Ouattara M. ↓, Diop A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 2.

Le Mans is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cholet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
26.04.24	Nancy - Le Mans	3:6 ✺
19.04.24	Le Mans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Le Mans - Avranches	3:4 ✺
29.03.24	Le Mans - Épinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
26.04.24	Cholet - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Martigues - Cholet	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Cholet - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	GOAL FC - Cholet	3:4 ✺
29.03.24	Cholet - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Cholet - Le Mans	0:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Le Mans - Cholet	1:4
French Ligue 3
31.03.23	Le Mans - Cholet	2:0
04.11.22	Cholet - Le Mans	2:1
29.04.22	Cholet - Le Mans	1:0
25.01.22	Le Mans - Cholet	1:0
10.05.21	Cholet - Le Mans	2:2

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