Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.74	3.59	2.46
	2.75	3.48	2.5
	2.62	3.4	2.3
	2.69	3.45	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.15)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	2.38 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
34.5%

Draw
26.9%

Nancy
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Avranches - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Quilichini G. (G) 17. Bansais D. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 10. Magnon P. 14. Pierre L. 25. Pi J. 5. Rabuel M. 24. Tertereau A. 18. Tshipamba I.	16. Sourzac M. (G) 29. Cisse L. 22. Delos S. 4. Diaby A. 27. Gromat J. 13. Inikurogha O. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 15. Mendy P. 10. Nangis L. 21. Pellegrini L. 9. Toure C.
Substitutes
30. Bisson N. (G) 23. Daguin V. 11. Jean D. 7. Nsimba S. 6. Smith J.	8. Bouabdelli W. 24. Bussmann G. 23. Carnot L. 30. Giagnorio M. (G) 18. Rivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Pierre L. 🟨,
43', Pierre L. 🟨,
45+2', Gromat J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
65', Gromat J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
73', Magnon P. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
75', Diaby A. ↓, Carnot L. ↑,
75', Pellegrini L. ↓, Bussmann G. ↑,
75', Cisse L. ↓, Bouabdelli W. ↑,
79', Tertereau A. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
79', Tshipamba I. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Rivas J. ⚽, Carnot L. (A),
87', 0 - 2, Carnot L. ⚽, Toure C. (A),
90+1', 0 - 3, Lemeray M. (Own goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
26.04.24	Villefranche - Avranches	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Avranches - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Avranches - Épinal	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Le Mans - Avranches	3:4 ✺
30.03.24	Avranches - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWLWL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
26.04.24	Nancy - Le Mans	3:6 ✺
19.04.24	Rouen FC - Nancy	2:3 ✺
15.04.24	Nancy - Martigues	3:2 ✺
08.04.24	Sochaux - Nancy	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Nancy - GOAL FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Nancy - Avranches	1:0
29.04.23	Nancy - Avranches	3:0
09.12.22	Avranches - Nancy	1:0

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