Match Info

Jia League - Round 20

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	3.9	6.1	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.9
	1.57	3.93	5.41	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.41	4	7.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)	6.26 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
62.4%

Draw
22.9%

Nantong Zhiyun
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 50%). Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 2. Wang Wenxuan 5. Huang X. 4. Sadauskas R. (C) 26. He Xiaoqiang 38. Ruan Qilong 7. Xiang Yuwang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 30. Bai Yutao 8. Li Zhenquan 9. Leonardo	1. Li Guanxi (C) 2. Xu Hui 5. Ma Sheng 15. Liu Wei 33. Li Haoran 21. Jiang Jiapeng 3. Gu Jiayi 14. Liu Weicheng 6. Hu Mingfei 26. Palocevic A. 20. Kolev A.
Substitutes
40. Carrillo J. 33. Cheng Yetong 14. Huang Xiyang 24. Liu Mingshi 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 21. Song Pan 15. Tong Zhicheng 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai	25. Cao Kang 11. Chen Binbin 37. Jia Boyan 18. Jiang Zilei 13. Liao Lei 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 4. Luo Xin 45. Meng Junjie 36. Qiu Zhongyi 7. Ye Daochi 38. Yin Jiaxi
Coaches
Suay S.	Rios Freire P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Li Zhenquan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Huang X. ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
61', Bai Yutao ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
61', Ma Sheng ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
62', Jiang Jiapeng ↓, Yin Jiaxi ↑,
65', Gu Jiayi ↓, Jia Boyan ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Ye Daochi ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Yin Jiaxi ⚽,
78', Liu Weicheng ↓, Cao Kang ↑,
78', Hu Mingfei ↓, Luo Xin ↑,
79', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Huang Xiyang ↑,
81', Li Haoran ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
90+6', Ye Daochi 🟨,
90+6', Xu Hui 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 10).

Chongqing is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nantong Zhiyun is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.

We predict that Chongqing will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
02.08.25	Shaanxi Union - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	4:2 ✺
12.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:4 ✺
06.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Ningbo Professional	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
03.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nantong Zhiyun	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	Ningbo Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:4

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