Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liaoning Tieren		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.10
	2.08	3.30	3.40
	2.31	3.40	3.41
	2.04	3.35	3.63	Watch
	2.25	3.20	3.35
	2.31	3.22	3.07
	2.21	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.09)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
42.8%

Draw
28.9%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Chongqing will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 34. Zhang H. 26. Yuan Mincheng 15. Felipe 27. Gao Jiarun 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 18. Li Tixiang 11. Chen Binbin 7. Kouame A. 9. Mbenza G. 47. Jeffinho	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 10. Amadou I. 16. Zhang Zhixiong 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.
Substitutes
20. Gui Zihan 21. Han Rongze (G) 35. Li Haoran 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 30. Pang Shenghan 3. Pan Ximing 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng	15. Chen Chunxin 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 6. Jin Pengxiang 18. Liang Weipeng 21. Liu Jiale 38. Ruan Qilong 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 4. Yue Ruijie
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Li Tixiang 🟨,
20', Felipe 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Xiang Yuwang ⚽,
30', Ngadeu M. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Kouame A. ⚽,
57', Jeffinho 🟨,
61', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Ruan Qilong ↑,
61', Cimpanu G. ↓, Yue Ruijie ↑,
61', Li Tixiang ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
71', Gao Jiarun ↓, Pan Ximing ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Jeffinho ⚽,
78', Amadou I. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
78', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Liang Weipeng ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Jeffinho ⚽, Pan Ximing (A),
84', Liu Mingshi ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
87', Pan Ximing 🟨,
88', Chen Binbin ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
88', Yuan Mincheng ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Recent performances by Liaoning Tieren have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chongqing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liaoning Tieren might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Li Peng (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Chongqing: Cimpanu G. (Injury) Li Zhenquan (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
27.06.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Dalian Kewei - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
29.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Port	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Liaoning Tieren	0:5 ✺
20.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWWW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
27.06.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
14.03.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
Chinese Jia League
19.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	4:2
29.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	2:1
07.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0
09.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	1:0

Upcoming Matches