Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Chorley		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.65	3.4	1.93
	3.46	3.14	2.07
	3.65	3.28	2.14
	3.5	3.3	2.1
	3.56	3.34	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.42)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
26.5%

Draw
28.2%

Barnet
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Barnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League
15.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Chorley	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Yeovil Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Chorley - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aldershot Town - Chorley	3:3 ✺
04.01.20	Woking - Chorley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLTL
- Barnet
English National League
18.02.20	Barnet - Harrogate Town	Canceled ✺
11.02.20	Solihull Moors - Barnet	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Barnet - Barrow	3:0 ✺
English National League
01.02.20	Barnet - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.01.20	Barnet - Farsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.11.19	Barnet - Chorley	2:1

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