Match Info

Date: 15 February 2020, Saturday


	Ebbsfleet United		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.87
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.33	3.15	2.95
	2.36	3.13	2.88
	2.43	3.3	3.02
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.45	3.14	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
39.4%

Draw
29.2%

Chorley
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ebbsfleet United - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Royston Town	0:0 ✺
English National League
01.02.20	Ebbsfleet United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
28.01.20	Ebbsfleet United - Woking	2:1 ✺
25.01.20	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Ebbsfleet United - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTL
- Chorley
English National League
01.02.20	Yeovil Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Chorley - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aldershot Town - Chorley	3:3 ✺
04.01.20	Woking - Chorley	1:0 ✺
01.01.20	Chorley - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.10.19	Chorley - Ebbsfleet United	0:4

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