Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Referee: Tsibulko E. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP, XSport+
World	Onefootball


	Chornomorets Odesa		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.5
	3.1	3	2.41
	3.18	3.05	2.38
	3.13	3.1	2.37	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	3.27	3.12	2.46	Watch
	3.1	3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	2.43 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
30.4%

Draw
31.1%

Rukh Lviv
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rukh (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudko A. (G) 77. Kysil Y. 39. Skyba Y. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 2. Butko B. (C) 11. Popov K. 14. Sigeev K. 28. Gabelok A. 17. Yanakov D. 9. Khoblenko O. 95. Mustafaev E.	1. Gereta Y. (G) 75. Kitela A. 25. Gorin O. 4. Kholod V. 93. Roman V. 15. Pidgurskyi D. 8. Karabin Y. 19. Pastukh Y. 16. Ryabov A. 11. Runich V. 7. Klymchuk Y. (C)
Substitutes
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 22. Arsic V. 16. Biloshevskyi B. 24. Jarju M. 34. Latsabidze L. 88. Panchyshyn B. 18. Robakidze G. 66. Ryan Carlos 90. Shevtsov I. 7. Toirov K. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 3. Yermakov V.	77. Almazbekov B. 99. Faal B. 78. Jurabaev M. 23. Ledviy D. (G) 88. Pogorilyi V. 9. Remenyak A. 18. Stolyarchuk A. 6. Tlumak Y. 76. Tovarnytskyi O.
Coaches
Kucher O.	Ponomarev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Popov K. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Klymchuk Y. ⚽, Kholod V. (A),
25', Rakitskyi Y. 🟨,
42', Karabin Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rakitskyi Y. ↓, Yermakov V. ↑,
52', Klymchuk Y. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
61', Sigeev K. ↓, Latsabidze L. ↑,
61', Kysil Y. ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Khoblenko O. ⚽, Popov K. (A),
64', Karabin Y. ↓, Remenyak A. ↑,
64', Runich V. ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
66', Gabelok A. 🟨,
69', Popov K. ↓, Shevtsov I. ↑,
69', Gabelok A. ↓, Toirov K. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Ryabov A. ⚽, Faal B. (A),
78', Mustafaev E. 🟨,
80', Skyba Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Chornomorets have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Chornomorets: Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury) Sporn J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rukh: Lyakh R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Rukh: Sapuga M. (Injury) Slyusar D. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chornomorets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:11 (average 2.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
20.04.25	Veres Rivne - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
02.04.25	Rukh Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
29.03.25	Rukh Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.24	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1
19.05.24	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0
12.11.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	2:3
29.05.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	1:3
07.12.22	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:2
06.11.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	4:3
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.07.20	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	2:2

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